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FAST PODCAST: The investment outlook for Aussie REITs

Few sectors of the economy are as sensitive to changes in interest rates as property. Pendal portfolio manager JULIA FORREST explains the outlook for REITs in this fast podcast

An excerpt from this podcast

The REIT sector has priced in assets falling probably 15 to 18%. So it has been fairly efficient in terms of predicting where interest rates and bond rates would go, and the likely impact on asset values.

We’re already seeing that reflected in pricing at the moment.

So the sector does look like reasonable value, factoring in where we think interest rates will go.

We’re not expecting any severe stress in the sector, unlike in the GFC.

The sector is reasonably well positioned. It’s offering a reasonable dividend yield, 5% to 6% for the yield for the stocks that we like.

There is still some earnings growth coming through for some of the larger mall landlords.

Given what we’ve seen happen in the last two years – and the concessions that they’ve made to tenants for rents during Covid – we will see some rents coming back.

It will to some extent be moderated by rising cash rates and what that does to debt cost going forward.

But the sector is reasonably well positioned.

I think management still have the GFC in their corporate memories and have positioned their portfolios accordingly.

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About Julia Forrest and Pendal Property Securities Fund

Julia Forrest is a portfolio manager with Pendal’s Australian Equities team. Julia has managed Pendal’s property trust portfolios for more than a decade and has 25 years of experience in equities research and advisory, initial public offerings and capital raisings.

Pendal is an independent, global investment management business focused on delivering superior investment returns for our clients through active management.

Pendal Property Securities Fund invests mainly in Australian listed property securities including listed property trusts, developers and infrastructure investments.


About Pendal Group

Pendal is an independent, global investment management business focused on delivering superior investment returns for our clients through active management.

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This information has been prepared by Pendal Fund Services Limited (PFSL) ABN 13 161 249 332, AFSL No 431426 and is current as at June 22, 2022. PFSL is the responsible entity and issuer of units in Pendal Property Securities Fund (Fund) ARSN: 087 593 584. A product disclosure statement (PDS) is available for the Fund and can be obtained by calling 1300 346 821 or visiting www.pendalgroup.com. The Target Market Determination (TMD) for the Fund is available at www.pendalgroup.com/ddo. You should obtain and consider the PDS and the TMD before deciding whether to acquire, continue to hold or dispose of units in the Fund. An investment in the Fund or any of the funds referred to in this web page is subject to investment risk, including possible delays in repayment of withdrawal proceeds and loss of income and principal invested. This information is for general purposes only, should not be considered as a comprehensive statement on any matter and should not be relied upon as such. It has been prepared without taking into account any recipient’s personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this, recipients should, before acting on this information, consider its appropriateness having regard to their individual objectives, financial situation and needs. This information is not to be regarded as a securities recommendation. The information may contain material provided by third parties, is given in good faith and has been derived from sources believed to be accurate as at its issue date. While such material is published with necessary permission, and while all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information is complete and correct, to the maximum extent permitted by law neither PFSL nor any company in the Pendal group accepts any responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of this information. Performance figures are calculated in accordance with the Financial Services Council (FSC) standards. Performance data (post-fee) assumes reinvestment of distributions and is calculated using exit prices, net of management costs. Performance data (pre-fee) is calculated by adding back management costs to the post-fee performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Any projections are predictive only and should not be relied upon when making an investment decision or recommendation. Whilst we have used every effort to ensure that the assumptions on which the projections are based are reasonable, the projections may be based on incorrect assumptions or may not take into account known or unknown risks and uncertainties. The actual results may differ materially from these projections. For more information, please call Customer Relations on 1300 346 821 8:00am to 6:00pm (Sydney time) or visit our website www.pendalgroup.com

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